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BNP Paribas forecasts ECB rate hike amid increased spending and inflation pressures

BNP Paribas anticipates a half percentage point interest rate hike from the European Central Bank (ECB) in the latter half of 2026, driven by increased defense and infrastructure spending. The bank has raised its euro zone growth forecasts to 1.3% for this year and 1.5% for 2026, while predicting average inflation of 2.2% this year and 2% next year. In the short term, the ECB is expected to cut its policy rate to 2% by June, with traders anticipating further cuts before a potential rate hike in September 2026.
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Euro BNP Paribas SA DEU FRA Yoruk Bahceli
Finance & Economy, Market Report
18:49 26.03.2025
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